Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.205683 0.236876 0.272363 0.315968 0.368432 0.429937 0.508104
2025-07-20 0.162539 0.204116 0.256821 0.329642 0.429418 0.564013 0.764045
2025-07-27 0.135317 0.180917 0.243523 0.338153 0.481964 0.700040 1.071926
2025-08-03 0.117653 0.165235 0.234851 0.348131 0.536098 0.852079 1.463891
2025-08-10 0.103353 0.150984 0.224355 0.351286 0.578307 0.996256 1.905894
2025-08-17 0.092017 0.138944 0.214462 0.352222 0.615557 1.142328 2.423603
2025-08-24 0.082473 0.128087 0.204301 0.349921 0.645304 1.282911 3.006881
2025-08-31 0.074176 0.118015 0.193675 0.344234 0.666280 1.411635 3.639947
2025-09-07 0.069288 0.113017 0.191073 0.353203 0.720348 1.637884 4.714730
2025-09-14 0.063123 0.104959 0.181621 0.346330 0.736766 1.775992 5.618949
2025-09-21 0.058975 0.100032 0.177347 0.349481 0.777989 1.999993 7.048918
2025-09-28 0.054773 0.094511 0.171135 0.347143 0.804831 2.194684 8.571804
2025-10-05 0.051926 0.091328 0.169348 0.355032 0.862781 2.523241 11.188123
2025-10-12 0.049385 0.088471 0.167875 0.363532 0.926016 2.909987 14.787965
2025-10-19 0.047013 0.085684 0.166169 0.371165 0.989805 3.342205 19.594648
2025-10-26 0.045082 0.083580 0.165660 0.381814 1.067406 3.888904 26.730022
2025-11-02 0.042817 0.080540 0.162646 0.385203 1.122622 4.381316 35.038494
2025-11-09 0.040608 0.077403 0.159014 0.386213 1.170490 4.881257 45.505514
2025-11-16 0.038385 0.074025 0.154415 0.383626 1.204828 5.344496 57.880655
2025-11-23 0.036147 0.070420 0.148862 0.377261 1.223000 5.738098 71.664592
2025-11-30 0.034981 0.069088 0.148711 0.387297 1.312093 6.667679 103.185516
2025-12-07 0.033004 0.065758 0.143200 0.379605 1.323858 7.098948 127.981565
2025-12-14 0.031723 0.063914 0.141272 0.383131 1.387613 7.993055 178.648866